Ahmedabad: Gujarat may experience rain, thunderstorms and gusty winds during the upcoming Navratri festival, according to veteran weather forecaster Ambalal Patel.
Ambalal Patel has indicated that several parts of the state could receive intermittent showers during the festival period, potentially affecting outdoor celebrations and Garba events.
According to his forecast, rainfall activity may increase between September 26 and October 5, with cloudy weather, thunderstorms and strong winds possible in different regions of Gujarat.
Rain Possible During Navratri 2026
Navratri 2026 is scheduled to begin on October 11 and conclude on October 20.
Ambalal Patel stated that Gujarat could witness cloudy weather or rainfall during the early phase of Navratri. He also suggested that scattered showers may continue in some areas from the middle of the festival through Dussehra. The forecast indicates that weather conditions may remain changeable during the festival, particularly for people attending open-air Garba events.
Patel attributed the possibility of rainfall partly to favourable Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) conditions.
Strong Winds Possible Along Gujarat Coast
Apart from rainfall, Patel also warned of the possibility of strong winds along the Gujarat coastline.
According to the forecast, strong coastal winds may occur around:
- October 5
- October 17
Coastal districts and residents involved in outdoor activities may need to monitor official weather updates as these dates approach.
Cyclonic Activity Possible Between October and December
Looking beyond Navratri, Ambalal Patel has also forecast the possibility of cyclonic activity in and around the Arabian Sea during October, November and December 2026.
He suggested that a strong cyclone could potentially develop from around November 18 through December. However, the exact intensity, direction and landfall possibility would become clearer only closer to the time. Patel also mentioned the possibility of a well-marked low-pressure system or cyclonic development over the Arabian Sea. According to the forecast, such a system could bring rainfall to Gujarat if it does not move towards Oman.
Weather Forecast Is Not an Official Cyclone Warning
While the forecast has drawn attention ahead of the festive season, it is important to understand that long-range predictions are not the same as official cyclone warnings.
The exact location, intensity and movement of any weather system can change. Residents should rely on updates issued by the India Meteorological Department (IMD) and local authorities for confirmed warnings, rainfall alerts and safety instructions.
At present, the forecast should be treated as an indication of possible weather activity rather than confirmation that a cyclone will definitely strike Gujarat.
Possible Impact on Navratri Celebrations
If rainfall or strong winds occur during Navratri, organisers and participants may face challenges such as:
- Temporary disruption of outdoor Garba events
- Wet grounds and slippery surfaces
- Traffic congestion during sudden showers
- Delays in public gatherings
- Strong wind-related safety concerns
- Changes in event schedules
Event organisers may need to keep backup arrangements ready and regularly monitor weather advisories during the festival.
What Should Citizens Do?
Residents of Gujarat, especially those planning to attend large Garba events, should:
- Check the latest weather forecast before leaving home.
- Carry rain protection if showers are predicted.
- Avoid standing near temporary structures during strong winds.
- Follow instructions issued by event organisers and local authorities.
- Monitor IMD alerts during periods of heavy rainfall or thunderstorms.
- Avoid spreading unverified cyclone-related messages on social media.
Conclusion
Gujarat may experience unsettled weather during the upcoming Navratri season, with rain, thunderstorms and gusty winds possible in parts of the state, according to weather forecaster Ambalal Patel.
He has also indicated the possibility of cyclonic activity in the Arabian Sea between October and December, including the potential development of a stronger system from around mid-November.
However, the final impact on Gujarat will depend on the formation, movement and intensity of any weather system. Citizens should follow official IMD updates and local advisories before making decisions related to travel, outdoor events and festival celebrations.
Also read, Indian Railways Announces Diwali Special Trains to Varanasi, Passengers to Get Relief
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