The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has forecast an active southwest monsoon over Gujarat until July 12, with widespread rainfall expected across several districts. According to the latest extended weather outlook issued by IMD, multiple weather systems, including a low-pressure area over the Bay of Bengal, an offshore trough, and strengthening monsoon currents, are expected to keep rain activity vigorous across the state over the coming week.
Heavy Rain Likely Across Several Regions Till July 12
The IMD predicts light to moderate rainfall at many places, with heavy to very heavy rainfall at isolated locations, especially over:
- South Gujarat
- Saurashtra
- Kutch
- Central Gujarat
- North Gujarat (isolated spells)
While the most intense rainfall is expected during the first half of the forecast period, scattered showers and thunderstorms are likely to continue across Gujarat through July 12.
Weather Systems Driving Gujarat’s Rainfall
Several active weather systems are influencing Gujarat’s monsoon conditions:
Low Pressure Area
A low-pressure area over the northwest Bay of Bengal is expected to strengthen moisture flow towards western and central India, keeping the southwest monsoon active.
Offshore Trough
An offshore trough extending along India’s western coast continues to support widespread rainfall over Gujarat and neighbouring coastal states.
Active Southwest Monsoon
The southwest monsoon has advanced across the entire Gujarat region and is expected to remain active over the coming days, resulting in frequent rain spells.
South Gujarat May Receive the Heaviest Rainfall
Districts including:
- Surat
- Navsari
- Valsad
- Dang
- Tapi
- Bharuch
are likely to witness moderate to heavy rainfall, with isolated very heavy spells during active monsoon periods. Residents living in low-lying areas have been advised to remain alert for temporary waterlogging and localized flooding.
Saurashtra and Kutch Also Under Rain Watch
The IMD has indicated that Saurashtra and Kutch are also expected to receive intermittent heavy rainfall.
Districts including:
- Rajkot
- Jamnagar
- Junagadh
- Devbhumi Dwarka
- Porbandar
- Kutch
could witness strong rain showers accompanied by thunderstorms and gusty winds.
Thunderstorms and Gusty Winds Expected
Apart from rainfall, several parts of Gujarat may experience:
- Thunderstorms
- Lightning
- Gusty winds reaching 40–60 km/h in isolated areas
The IMD has advised people to avoid open fields during thunderstorms and stay updated with local weather advisories.
Fishermen Advised Not to Venture into the Sea
The IMD has also issued advisories for fishermen operating along the Gujarat coast. Due to rough sea conditions and strengthening winds over the Arabian Sea, fishermen have been advised not to venture into the sea until weather conditions improve.
Public Advisory
Authorities have urged residents to:
- Avoid unnecessary travel during heavy rainfall.
- Stay away from overflowing rivers, streams, and causeways.
- Monitor official IMD weather bulletins regularly.
- Follow instructions issued by local district administrations.
Conclusion
With the southwest monsoon expected to remain active, Gujarat is likely to experience widespread rainfall till July 12, particularly across South Gujarat, Saurashtra, and Kutch. The IMD has advised citizens to stay alert for heavy rain, thunderstorms, and localized flooding while monitoring official weather updates as conditions evolve.
Also read, Surat Weather Forecast (July 4 to July 19, 2026)
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